Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.368940 0.407904 0.449721 0.498015 0.552350 0.611704 0.681596
2025-04-27 0.308416 0.362853 0.425578 0.503547 0.598341 0.710457 0.853983
2025-05-04 0.273388 0.335157 0.409789 0.507303 0.632371 0.788765 1.001288
2025-05-11 0.247102 0.313043 0.395809 0.508419 0.659333 0.856999 1.139482
2025-05-18 0.228474 0.297724 0.387545 0.514146 0.690498 0.931210 1.291178
2025-05-25 0.207285 0.276572 0.368958 0.503135 0.696330 0.969598 1.394776
2025-06-01 0.195545 0.266835 0.364435 0.510325 0.727234 1.044921 1.558949
2025-06-08 0.182077 0.253391 0.353312 0.506527 0.740933 1.095159 1.689023
2025-06-15 0.172555 0.244678 0.347997 0.510351 0.765710 1.163561 1.854285
2025-06-22 0.161052 0.232147 0.335995 0.502757 0.771590 1.202052 1.973380
2025-06-29 0.151505 0.221805 0.326404 0.497882 0.780929 1.246285 2.106179
2025-07-06 0.139199 0.206451 0.308077 0.477609 0.763100 1.243155 2.153924
2025-07-13 0.133555 0.201145 0.305173 0.482350 0.787950 1.315938 2.350239
2025-07-20 0.128392 0.196260 0.302591 0.487386 0.813700 1.392748 2.563762
2025-07-27 0.123386 0.191265 0.299417 0.491022 0.837036 1.467030 2.780987
2025-08-03 0.118287 0.185778 0.295021 0.492096 0.855634 1.533952 2.991252
2025-08-10 0.114414 0.182057 0.293282 0.497612 0.882701 1.619315 3.250531
2025-08-17 0.107964 0.173635 0.283023 0.487005 0.878317 1.642461 3.378115
2025-08-24 0.104983 0.170926 0.282411 0.493931 0.908150 1.736793 3.675960
2025-08-31 0.100475 0.165325 0.276382 0.490273 0.916723 1.788075 3.881588
2025-09-07 0.097428 0.162095 0.274339 0.493957 0.940213 1.872761 4.177311
2025-09-14 0.092925 0.156051 0.266876 0.486642 0.940474 1.907277 4.355181
2025-09-21 0.089092 0.151012 0.260964 0.481945 0.945768 1.953259 4.567933